MLB Player Prop Insights: Tuesday Slate

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Thanks to our friend Jared for the article (@jaredrblock).

MLB Player Prop Trend: Hurston Waldrep Outs

Waldrep has recorded 17+ pitching outs in four-straight starts for the Braves. Over the last two weeks, the Marlins have the 15th wRC+, the 9th-lowest K%, and the 12th-lowest BB% against right-handed pitchers. Waldrep’s solid 54% ground ball rate to lefties and overall nasty profile to right-handed hitters (2.95 xFIP / 27.8% K% / 2.8% BB% / 0 HR per 9 / 44% GB% / 0.128 wOBA allowed / 0.147 SLG allowed) should be on full display today.

MLB Player Props Today Hurston Waldrep — Waldrep has recorded 17+ pitching outs in four-straight starts for the Braves. Over the last two weeks, the Marlins have the 15th wRC+, the 9th-lowest K%, and the 12th-lowest BB% against right-handed pitchers. Waldrep’s solid 54% ground ball rate to lefties and overall nasty profile to right-handed hitters (2.95 xFIP / 27.8% K% / 2.8% BB% / 0 HR per 9 / 44% GB% / 0.128 wOBA allowed / 0.147 SLG allowed) should be on full display today.

MLB Player Prop Trend: Corbin Carroll Hits

Carroll has recorded a hit in eighteen of his last twenty games. The Diamondbacks lefties come into a tough matchup against Jacob Misiorowski, who has struck out 45% of the lefties he has faced over the last 30 days. With that said, Carroll’s 145 wRC+ / 23% K% / .381 wOBA is strong enough to continue this streak today.

MLB Player Props Today Corbin Carroll — Carroll has recorded a hit in eighteen of his last twenty games. The Diamondbacks lefties come into a tough matchup against Jacob Misiorowski, who has struck out 45% of the lefties he has faced over the last 30 days. With that said, Carroll’s 145 wRC+ / 23% K% / .381 wOBA is strong enough to continue this streak today.

MLB Player Prop Trend: Junior Caminero Hits + Runs + RBI

Junior Caminero has homered four times in his last three games and has recorded 2+ HRR in five-straight. Caminero’s 186 wRC+ / .441 wOBA lines up well against left-handed prospect Parker Messick, who will be making his second start in the bigs. Caminero could continue to prove to the Guardians wrong after they traded him away in 2021.

MLB Player Props Today Junior Caminero — Junior Caminero has homered four times in his last three games and has recorded 2+ HRR in five-straight. Caminero’s 186 wRC+ / .441 wOBA lines up well against left-handed prospect Parker Messick, who will be making his second start in the bigs. Caminero could continue to prove to the Guardians wrong after they traded him away in 2021.

MLB Player Prop Today: Bryan Reynolds Total Bases

Reynolds has recorded 2+ total bases in four of his last five games, 2+ total bases in six of his last eight games, and has seven extra-base hits in the past eight games (1 HR, 6 2B). His 192 wRC+ across 40 plate appearances over the last two weeks (team high) lines up well against Andre Pallante today (4.07 xFIP / 20.4% K% / 13% BB% / 2.3 HR per 9 / 52.8% GB% / 0.404 wOBA allowed / 0.553 SLG allowed vs. LHH the L30 days).

MLB Player Props Today Bryan Reynolds — Reynolds has recorded 2+ total bases in four of his last five games, 2+ total bases in six of his last eight games, and has seven extra-base hits in the past eight games (1 HR, 6 2B). His 192 wRC+ across 40 plate appearances over the last two weeks (team high) lines up well against Andre Pallante today (4.07 xFIP / 20.4% K% / 13% BB% / 2.3 HR per 9 / 52.8% GB% / 0.404 wOBA allowed / 0.553 SLG allowed vs. LHH the L30 days).

MLB Player Prop Trend: Patrick Corbin Earned Runs

Corbin has allowed multiple runs in eight of his last ten games and 3+ in four-straight. He’ll now take on an Angels offense that ranks 6th in MLB against left-handed pitching the last 30 days (125 wRC+) and has six hitters in the projected lineup with a wRC+ higher than 100 and wOBA higher than .340. Corbin’s profile against right-handed hitters over the last 30 days is in “gas can” territory (5.34 xFIP / 16.7% K% / 11.1% BB% / 2.4 HR per 9 / 38% GB% / 0.465 wOBA allowed / 0.689 SLG allowed).

MLB Player Props Today Patrick Corbin — Corbin has allowed multiple runs in eight of his last ten games and 3+ in four-straight. He’ll now take on an Angels offense that ranks 6th in MLB against left-handed pitching the last 30 days (125 wRC+) and has six hitters in the projected lineup with a wRC+ higher than 100 and wOBA higher than .340. Corbin’s profile against right-handed hitters over the last 30 days is in “gas can” territory (5.34 xFIP / 16.7% K% / 11.1% BB% / 2.4 HR per 9 / 38% GB% / 0.465 wOBA allowed / 0.689 SLG allowed).

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